[2020.08.31] [局势分析] [New] [No Big Deal] 印军抢先进驻了班公湖南岸一区域
印度陆军：印军抢先进驻了班公湖南岸一区域，挫败对方改变现状的图谋
2020.08.31
Current situation is:
- India wants a war
- China does not want a war
现在的中印局势是：
- 印度一直说中国占领了很大一片土地，谈判条件就是要撤出5月开始占据的土地。
- 印度军民都十分嚣张，不把中国放在眼里，叫嚣战争
- 中国方面只能忍气吞声
- 问题不是边界战争这么简单
- 开战印度不堪一击根本不是中国对手
- 但现在是疫情阶段
- 美国全面压制中国
- 台湾问题
- 南海问题
- 中国是四面楚歌
- 一旦开战印度会封锁印度洋中国航道
- 中国如果大打进攻新德里那可能会引起核战
- *** 但是即使开战也不怕：
— 先打边界战争
— 印度封锁航道就轰炸新德里
— 开辟克什米尔战场彻底解放克什米尔
— 直到俄罗斯介入调节 - *** 问题出来了
- 这次5月份中方又是谁搞出这么个事来？搞成现在这种巨大失败的局面
- s
- 洞朗喊了三个月立即，钟声都出来喊话了。结果呢？人家待了三个月，全身而退。脸都被扇肿了。
- 阿三打了个出其不意，占了便宜，正得意。这次很麻烦，兔子没有主动出击报复的习惯。估计就这样了
- 兔子胆子太小，换毛熊早就火箭炮轰屙三狗日的了
- 毛熊被土鸡干下飞机不也没事 — Russia Turkey
- 翻墙看的，印度越界修一个营地，然后中国军队200人去制止，发生了冲突，也开枪了。但是印度是事先预谋好的，后面支援多，解放军就撤了，注意不是撤一点，因为已经开枪了，所以怕当时吃亏，就撤的比较远，留了一个空的营地被尾随的一个印度特战队给占了。现在旅一级的谈判，中方要求印度撤军。看印度这把戏和62年一模一样。
- 又 不是 头一次了， 还不知道 你的 底线 和 态度 ？ 估计 对方早看透了， 拿捏住了。 你 还 能怎样？ 反正 也不会怎样 。
- 缓冲区是无争议的中国领土
![[2021.01.09] AGAIN 我军一名士兵迷路被印度扣留](https://www.zgzl2050.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/image-15-200x120.png "[2021.01.09] AGAIN 我军一名士兵迷路被印度扣留")
![[2020.09.12] Black Top & Helmet Top 黑顶 & 头盔顶](https://www.zgzl2050.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/image-18-200x120.png "[2020.09.12] Black Top & Helmet Top 黑顶 & 头盔顶")
![[MAP] 中印边境地图 + 国力 + 军力 [Galwan] [Pangong Tso]](https://www.zgzl2050.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/image-106-200x120.png "[MAP] 中印边境地图 + 国力 + 军力 [Galwan] [Pangong Tso]")
https://news.sina.com.cn/c/2020-09-12/doc-iivhuipp3951888.shtml
https://www.weeklyvoice.com/india-repulses-chinese-troops-in-new-skirmish-on-pangong-lake-bank/
【班公湖“交火事件“基本事实】
印方侵入多日，中方一直保持克制。
冲突应该是发生两次：
1、9月6日，中方数辆军车从车铺子军营（ Chepuzi camp）出发，急行军冲破印方非法卡点，支援、换防此前夺回的营地。双方发生短暂摩擦冲突，未开枪。
但返回途中，由于是晚上，印方以中方违反“夜间不准行动”的双边协议为由，开枪示警；中方未开枪，也未发生冲突，迅速返回营地。
2、9月7日，双方会谈谈崩后，中方决定采取反制措施——“警示性惩罚打击”。目标就是冲在最前、并开枪的SFF部队中的莫朵（MOD）连队。傍晚时分，中方数辆军车前往。（2/3）
在山脚处距离数百米时，遭印方警戒3枪示警，第4枪击中中方装甲车，并以火箭筒瞄准中方恐吓。中方停止前行，旋即，印方警戒处、山上营地，均传来爆炸声。（有说印方开枪的人员被当场爆头）。印方退缩，中方人员随即成功上山。山上印方鸣枪示警，中方也鸣枪示警，随后印方未敢再开枪，双方近距离对峙 3/3
https://twitter.com/evazhengll/status/1303590298178719745
Helmet Top and Black Top under PLA control.
About 300 Indian border soldiers were taken captive by 140 PLA troops at on the Rezang-La-Rechin La ridgeline, later handed back by PLA.
https://twitter.com/evazhengll/status/1303774264131293184
班公搓今日战报 –
南岸“头盔顶“和“黑顶“高地目前由解放军控制。
印军今天约300人大举直扑热钦山口，被解放军140人包了咖喱饺子，目前已移交印方。
https://twitter.com/evazhengll/status/1303768859795750915
India-China standoff: Brute Chinese soldiers brought guns, spears, machetes to Monday’s skirmish
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India Today TV’s Abhishek Bhalla has accessed the pictures of the PLA soldiers who attempted to close-in on one of the Indian forward positions along the LAC near Rezang La on Monday evening.
https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/india-china-standoff-picture-pla-soldiers-ladakh-skirmish-spears-machetes-1719857-2020-09-08
First image of PLA at Shenpao mountain area, southern bank of #PangongTso released.
PLA soldiers dislodged Indian Army position with Tang Dynasty Mo Knife (Mo Dao 大唐陌刀
Hocho
).
https://twitter.com/evazhengll/status/1303328721336709120
班公湖大捷
西部战区大红捷报喜气洋洋！！！
PLA Western Theatre Command Ground Force issues poster for Victory in Joyous Chinese Red !!!
https://twitter.com/evazhengll/status/1303258373589213185
weibo
https://weibo.com/u/6993838121?is_all=1
video
https://weibo.com/tv/show/1034:4546780742746132?from=old_pc_videoshow
weibo
https://weibo.com/6993838121/JjCZpv7yC?filter=hot&root_comment_id=0&type=comment
https://twitter.com/evazhengll/status/1303215937542381568
India side statement:
https://twitter.com/ShivAroor/status/1303201112653066240
估计是中国军队准备围殴印军（200人VS40人，手持棍棒），印军吓住了，慌张中开枪示警，中国军队把他们的枪都卸了，人放回去了。
The incident detail:
About 40 Indian troops around that area, larger number of Chinese troops with deadly clubs approached them, Indian soldiers panicked, and fired warning shots, but Chinese troops still encircled them, and took all their weapons away.
https://guardingindia.com/china/exclusive-indian-army-foils-another-galwan-at-shenpao-mountainladakh/
2020.09.07
凌晨突然主动发布消息，既说明事态严重性，也说明局面由我方掌控中。
凌晨突然主动发布消息，既说明事态严重性，也说明局面由我方掌控中。
https://twitter.com/ShivAroor/status/1303043906670485505
Something not right. The timing of the statement. Looks like a preemptive kind of a statement. Talkes about ‘counter messures’.
https://twitter.com/rakheshsreedhar/status/1303045057998540800
中国军网9月7日电 中国人民解放军西部战区新闻发言人张水利大校就印军再次非法越线挑衅发表谈话指出，9月7日，印军非法越线进入中印边境西段班公湖南岸神炮山地域。印军在行动中悍然对前出交涉的中国边防部队巡逻人员鸣枪威胁，中国边防部队被迫采取应对措施稳控现地局势。印方行径严重违反中印双方有关协议协定，推高地区紧张局势，极易造成误解误判，是严重的军事挑衅行为，性质非常恶劣。我们要求印方立即停止危险行动，立即撤回越线人员，严格约束一线部队，严肃查处鸣枪挑衅人员，确保不再发生类似事件。战区部队将坚决履行职责使命，坚决捍卫国家领土主权。
http://www.81.cn/yw/2020-09/08/content_9898275.htm
印军在行动中悍然对前出交涉的中国边防部队巡逻人员鸣枪威胁，中国边防部队被迫采取应对措施稳控现地局势。
During the operation, the Indian army blatantly fired threats to the patrol personnel of the Chinese border guards who had made representations, and the Chinese border guards were forced to take countermeasures to stabilize the situation on the ground.
Chinese border defense troops were forced to take countermeasures to stabilize the situation after the #Indian troops outrageously fired warning shots to PLA border patrol soldiers who were about to negotiate, said the spokesperson.
https://twitter.com/globaltimesnews/status/1303035475674804226
https://www.dwnews.com/%E5%85%A8%E7%90%83/60210720/%E4%B8%AD%E5%8D%B0%E9%98%B2%E9%95%BF%E4%BC%9A%E6%99%A4%E5%8F%8C%E6%96%B9%E5%A3%B0%E6%98%8E%E5%A4%A7%E4%B8%8D%E5%90%8C%E5%8D%B0%E9%98%B2%E9%95%BF%E7%8E%B0%E5%9C%BA%E4%B8%BE%E6%AD%A2%E5%BC%BA%E7%A1%AC%E5%9B%BE
https://twitter.com/ShivAroor/status/1301925897109299200
https://eurasiantimes.com/who-are-indias-special-frontier-force-that-thwarted-chinese-actions-at-pangong-tso/
https://news.sina.com.cn/w/2020-09-02/doc-iivhvpwy4380444.shtml
流亡藏人部队
3日，路透社再就此事刊发报道，这次的信源多了“三位印度政府官员”。只是说了半天，也没说清三位是啥部门啥身份。报道倒是“透露”了一点新信息：据说，死者是印藏特种边防部队（SFF）的成员。
https://news.sina.com.cn/c/2020-09-03/doc-iivhvpwy4759185.shtml
原标题：突然！印度外长说这是“当务之急”
印度外长：与中国达成和解是当务之急，必须通过外交途径找到解决当前局势的方法。
据《印度斯坦时报》3日消息，印度外交部长苏杰生（S Jaishankar）当天表示，印度和中国达成和解是当务之急，必须通过外交途径来找到解决当前局势的方法。
报道称，苏杰生3日是在印度智库观察家研究基金会（ORF）的一场线上活动中发表了上述言论。在该活动上，印度与中国的关系和僵局成为突出问题。
https://news.sina.com.cn/c/2020-09-04/doc-iivhvpwy4792709.shtml
This kind of hill heights
推特（Twitter）名为“前线突击”（Frontal Assault）、粉丝近5万的印度军事观察家当地时间9月1日评价目前情报：
“印方：中方占领印方两个山头。
中方占领印方1,000平方公里领土。
中方：印度入侵中方4公里领土。”
https://twitter.com/FrontalAssault1
https://www.dwnews.com/%E5%85%A8%E7%90%83/60210072/%E4%B8%AD%E5%8D%B0%E5%86%B2%E7%AA%81%E5%8D%B0%E5%AA%92%E6%8A%A5%E9%87%8D%E5%A4%A7%E6%88%98%E6%96%97%E6%9E%9C%E5%AE%9E%E6%83%85%E6%8A%A5%E6%8F%AD%E8%A7%A3%E6%94%BE%E5%86%9B%E8%A5%BF%E6%8E%A81000%E5%B9%B3%E6%96%B9%E5%85%AC%E9%87%8C
NEW DELHI: Despite the presence of cameras and surveillance equipment deployed by the Chinese Army near the height close to Pangong lake southern bank, the Indian Army troops managed to occupy it before the People’s Liberation Army (PLA).
“The Chinese Army has deployed advanced cameras and surveillance equipment to monitor Indian activities near the dormant height but despite that, the Indian troops managed to occupy height there,” sources told ANI.
The Chinese Army has installed such equipment all along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) and use them effectively to monitor Indian activities and respond quickly whenever they find Indian patrols on the areas claimed by them.
Sources said the cameras and surveillance equipment has been removed after the Indian side occupied the dormant height within its territory.
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/despite-chinese-cameras-and-sensors-indian-troops-managed-to-beat-pla-in-occupying-height/articleshow/77867941.cms
9月1日，外交部发言人华春莹主持例行记者会。有记者就中印边境最新事态提问。
但是在8月31日，印军破坏了前期双方多层级会谈会晤达成的共识，在中印边界的西段班公湖以南地区以及热钦山口附近再次非法越线，公然挑衅，造成边境局势再度紧张。印方的行径严重侵犯了中方的领土主权，也严重违反了两国相关的协定、协议和重要的共识，破坏了边境地区的和平与安宁。这与双方一段时间以来推动现地局势缓和降温的努力是背道而驰的，中方对此坚决反对并且已经向印方提出了严正交涉，要求印方停止一切挑衅行为，立即撤回非法越线的人员，立即停止任何导致局势紧张、升级和复杂化的举动。
班公湖以南地区以及热钦山口
http://ajaishukla.blogspot.com/2020/08/pla-aggression-in-pangong-indian.html
https://twitter.com/ShivAroor/status/1300688325313880064
https://twitter.com/ShivAroor
New Delhi: Specialised elements of the Indian Army outflanked China’s People’s Liberation Army on the night of 29 August, dominating at least four locations claimed by both sides near the southern bank of the Pangong Tso.
The action drew a sharp verbal reaction from the Chinese military, with the Western Theatre Command of the PLA, which oversees borders with India, issuing a statement accusing the Indian Army of violating the consensus reached at the multi-level talks between both countries.
https://theprint.in/defence/as-indian-army-outflanks-china-on-southern-banks-of-pangong-tso-pla-issues-verbal-warning/493038/
With heights being dominated now, the Army has also moved in additional troops, who have been brought in from the reserve columns that were deployed in eastern Ladakh after the stand-off with China began in early May.
Sources said domination of hilltops and passes in areas claimed by both sides, but where the Indians had the upper hand, was always part of the “military options” that Chief of Defence Staff General Bipin Rawat had mentioned. However, there was no physical clash between the two sides, the sources said.
https://theprint.in/defence/as-indian-army-outflanks-china-on-southern-banks-of-pangong-tso-pla-issues-verbal-warning/493038/
中国已牢牢控制那一地区，它就像中国的领土一样，优势完全在中国这一边。印度这种挑衅就像一小撮印度兵突然出现在上海街头，傻乎乎的。
???
https://www.dwnews.com/%E5%85%A8%E7%90%83/60209912/%E4%B8%AD%E5%8D%B0%E4%B8%A4%E5%86%9B%E5%86%B2%E7%AA%81%E5%86%8D%E8%B5%B7%E7%8F%AD%E5%85%AC%E6%B9%96%E5%9C%B0%E5%8C%BA72%E5%B0%8F%E6%97%B6%E5%8F%91%E7%94%9F%E4%BA%86%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88
Chinese Air Force redeployed J-20 fighters near LAC days before fresh intrusion bid
Days before the PLA troops carried out provocative movements’ at Pangong Lake in Ladakh, Chinese Air Force had redeployed its J-20 fighter aircraft near the LAC.
How Indian Army stopped recent Chinese provocation: What happened on Aug 29-30
About 200 Chinese troops in an SUV vehicular convoy ran into an Indian post along LAC in eastern Ladakh on the night of August 29. They were turned back by Indian soldiers following a brief standoff.
https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/how-indian-army-stopped-recent-chinese-provocation-what-happened-on-aug-29-30-1717069-2020-08-31
China demands India withdraw troops from LAC to avoid escalation
The Chinese military spokesman said China is taking countermeasures and will safeguard its territorial sovereignty.
China has demanded India withdraw troops that Beijing said had illegally crossed their shared border, its military spokesman said on Monday.
The Indian army said in a statement that Chinese troops carried out military movements over the weekend to change the status quo on the border in a fresh flare-up between the two sides.
The Chinese military spokesman said China is taking countermeasures and will safeguard its territorial sovereignty.
https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/china-demands-india-withdraw-troops-from-lac-to-avoid-escalation-1717135-2020-08-31
官媒声明